Ngo-11: 10 ngoNovemba 8, imveliso ye-polyester ethylene glycol ye-Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd. ye-Shaanxi Coal Group yasungulwa ngokusemthethweni!Eli lixesha lokuqala ukuba iimveliso ze-polyester zebakala le-ethylene glycol eziveliswe nguYulin Chemical Co., Ltd., ezihlangabezana neemfuno ze-GB/T4649-2018, zithunyelwa kwi-Zhejiang Hengyi Group Co., Ltd., i-polyester factory eyaziwayo eTshayina.
Emva kokuba ixabiso liqhubekile nokuwa kwaye libethe i-low low ngonyaka, i-ethylene glycol futures yangena kwinqanaba lokudibanisa elisezantsi.Kwiintsuku zamva nje, xa kuthelekiswa ne-PTA kunye ne-fiber esisiseko kwisixokelelwano soshishino esifanayo, ixabiso le-ethylene glycol liye laphindaphindeka ngamandla, xa likhokela icandelo lonke lepolyester.I-"it" ebuthathaka kakhulu kwicandelo le-polyester yasuka ngokukhawuleza.Ngaba “yintlanzi enetyuwa”?
Kutshanje, ixabiso leethylene glycolibuyele kwinqanaba eliphantsi, ikhokelela ekunyukeni kweekhemikhali ezininzi.Kule nkalo, u-Shi Jiaping, umhlalutyi ophezulu we-Huarui Information, wachaza ukuba, kwelinye icala, i-extrusion yecala lokubonelela nge-ethylene glycol yayibonakala ngakumbi.NgoNovemba, i-ethylene glycol yasekhaya iqala umthwalo wehla ukuya kwi-55% - 56%, ngelixa igesi yokwenziwa kwi-ethylene glycol yokuqala yokulayisha iye yawela malunga ne-30% - 33%, ngokusisiseko iphantsi kwembali.Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ixabiso le-ethylene glycol liye lawela kwinqanaba eliphantsi, eliye laphambuka kakhulu kuqikelelo.Okwangoku, uvakalelo lwemarike luye lwafudumala, kwaye iimveliso ezinoxinzelelo olugqithisileyo lwenzuzo kwinqanaba lokuqala kufuneka zilungiswe.
Kungekudala, ikusasa le-ethylene glycol litshintshile kwaye laphakama, "eyayiyodwa" kwicandelo le-polyester.Enyanisweni, yayiluhlobo lokulungiswa koqingqo-maxabiso emva kokuba zonke iibheji ezimbi zithengisiwe.Ekuhambeni kwexesha, kusekho iiseti ezininzi zezixhobo ekulindeleke ukuba zifakwe kwimveliso kwixesha elizayo.Nangona kunjalo, phantsi kwemvelaphi engathandekiyo enjalo, kubandakanywa ukususwa kwempahla encinci kwi-port kunye nokunyuswa kwexesha elide lokusetyenziswa kwimigaqo-nkqubo enkulu, baya kubonelela ngokunyuka okuphezulu kwe-ethylene glycol engaphezulu.Ukususela kwiziphumo, ukunyuka kwakutshanje kwe-ethylene glycol kungcono kunezinye iimveliso ze-polyester.
1. Umthamo wokuvelisa uphuculwa ngakumbi, kwaye amandla ophuhliso lwamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol makhulu.
Ngokutsho Uhlalutyo olunzulu lwe-Ethylene Glycol yoPhuhliso lweShishini kunye neNgxelo yoPhando loTyalo-mali lwexesha elizayo (2022-2029) ekhutshwe yi-Guanyan Report Network, kwiminyaka yakutshanje, ishishini lehlabathi le-ethylene glycol liye laphuhliswa ngokukhawuleza, kunye nomthamo wemveliso ye-ethylene glycol kunye nemveliso ekhulayo ngonyaka. ngonyaka.Ngo-2021, amandla okuvelisa i-ethylene glycol emhlabeni wonke aya kunyuka nge-19.4% ngonyaka, kwaye umphumo uya kunyuka ngo-7.5% ngonyaka.Phantsi kwale mvelaphi, umthamo wemveliso kunye nemveliso yeshishini le-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina iyanda unyaka nonyaka.
Ngokumalunga nomthamo wokuvelisa, njengoko ilizwe lihlawula ingqwalasela engakumbi kwishishini le-ethylene glycol, isikhokelo esifanelekileyo kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo exhasayo efana neFomula yokuKhuthaza ukuPhakanyiswa kunye nokuSebenza kweTekhnoloji kunye neeMveliso kwi-Petrochemical and Chemical Industry ngo-2021, iimbono eziKhokelelwayo zokuKhuthaza. uPhuhliso loMgangatho oPhezulu woShishino lwePetrokhemikhali kunye neMichiza ngexesha "leSicwangciso seMinyaka yeShumi elineSine" kunye nezimvo eziKhokelayo kuMgangatho oPhezulu woPhuhliso lweShishini lweFayibha yeMichiza ngo-2022 ziyaqhubeka zikhutshwa, kwaye imeko-bume yomgaqo-nkqubo wemizi-mveliso iyaqhubeka ithandeka, i-ethylene glycol yaseChina. umthamo wemveliso uyanda unyaka nonyaka.Ngokutsho kwedatha, umthamo wemveliso ye-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina iya kunyuka ukusuka kwi-8.32 yezigidi zeetoni ukuya kwi-21.45 yezigidi zeetoni ukusuka ku-2017 ukuya ku-2021, kunye nesantya sokukhula komndilili wonyaka malunga ne-31%.
Ngokwezinga lokusetyenziswa kwamandla, izinga lokusetyenziswa kwe-ethylene glycol e-China liphantsi ngoku, malunga ne-68.63% kwi-2017;Iya kunyuka ukuya kwi-73.42% ngo-2019. Nangona kunjalo, ukususela ngo-2020 ukuya ku-2021, ngenxa yempembelelo yokuhlukaniswa kobhubhane ekhaya, ukugcinwa kwesixhobo se-ethylene glycol, umlinganiselo wamandla kunye namaxabiso amalahle aphezulu, umthwalo wokuqala we-ethylene glycol wasekhaya uphantsi, kwaye iyonke. ishishini liqala ukwehla kakhulu, okukhokelela kumlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kwe-ethylene glycol e-China yehle ukuya kuma-60.06% kunye ne-55.01% ngokulandelelanayo kwiminyaka emibini edlulileyo.
Ngokubhekiselele kwimveliso, kunye nokwandiswa kwamandla emakethe ye-ethylene glycol kunye nokunyuka ngokubanzi kwemfuno ephantsi, isiphumo sikwabonisa umkhwa wokukhula konyaka.Ukususela ngo-2017 ukuya ku-2021, imveliso yaseTshayina ye-ethylene glycol inyuke ukusuka kwi-5.71 yezigidi zeetoni ukuya kwi-11.8 yezigidi zeetoni, kwaye izinga lokukhula kwemveliso libonise ukunyuka okunyukayo kule minyaka mibini idlulileyo, iqhutywa kukukhula okukhulu komthamo wayo wemveliso.Ngo-2021, izinga lokukhula kwe-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina lalimalunga ne-21.65% unyaka nonyaka, ipesenti ezi-2.63 zamanqaku aphezulu kunowama-2020.
Ukususela ekutshintsheni amandla emveliso ye-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina, kunokubonwa ukuba imveliso ye-ethylene glycol yaseTshayina iye yaphuculwa ngakumbi kwiminyaka emihlanu yakutshanje, kwaye ishishini likwinqanaba lokukhula kunye nophuhliso.
Ngokwenkqubo yoshishino, kukho iinkqubo ezintathu eziphambili zokuvelisa i-ethylene glycol e-China: ukudibanisa (inkqubo ye-naphtha / ethylene), i-MTO (i-methanol kwi-olefin) kunye namalahle kwi-ethylene glycol.Okwangoku, ngenxa yobuchwephesha obuphezulu be-petroleum ukuya kwi-ethylene glycol e-China, eyona ndlela iphambili yenkqubo, umthamo woyilo wepetroleum ukuya kwi-ethylene glycol ubala umlinganiselo ophezulu.Kwi-2021, amandla okuvelisa i-petroleum kwi-ethylene glycol e-China iya kubalelwa ngaphezu kwe-60%, kwaye imveliso iya kudlula iitoni ze-7 yezigidi;Okwesibini ngamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol iteknoloji (indlela yamalahle kukusebenzisa igesi yamalahle yokuqala, kwaye emva koko isebenzise amanzi kunye nekhabhoni ye-carbon monoxide kwigesi ye-synthesis njengempahla ekrwada yokulungiselela i-ethylene glycol), kunye nomthamo wemveliso obala ngaphezu kwe-30%. kunye nemveliso engaphaya kwe-3 yezigidi zeetoni.Ixabiso leoli liye lanyuka kwiminyaka emibini yakutshanje, kwaye ukuveliswa kwamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol e-China kuye kwanda ngokukhawuleza.Kwi-2021, ukuveliswa kwamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol e-China kuya kukhula malunga ne-50% ngonyaka.Njengoko i-China inesakhiwo samandla "amalahle amaninzi, igesi encinci kunye ne-oyile encinci", amalahle kwi-ethylene glycol luphawu lwaseTshayina malunga nokubonelela ngokubanzi kwe-ethylene glycol e-China.Kwixesha elizayo, amalahle aseTshayina kwi-ethylene glycol anamandla amakhulu ophuhliso.
2. INafeta ibuthathaka kwaye kunzima ukuyiphucula
Ukunikezelwa okuxekethileyo kunye nokufunwa kwakhokelela ekusebenzeni kakubi kwecandelo le-ethylene glycol, kwaye imveliso yahlala kwindawo yenzuzo embi.Ngelo xesha, ukusebenza kwezinto zayo eziluhlaza i-naphtha kunye ne-ethylene nayo ivila, okwenza ukuxhaswa kweendleko ze-ethylene glycol buthathaka.
Ngokwemarike yehlabathi ye-ethylene glycol imathiriyeli ekrwada, ukudityaniswa kwe-naphtha kubalela eyona nxalenye inkulu, ilandelwa yigesi yendalo kunye nemveliso ye-ethane phesheya kolwandle, kunye nemveliso yamalahle eTshayina.Ukudityaniswa kweNaphtha kwakukhe kwaba yinkqubo yemveliso eneendleko ezinamandla, kodwa kulo nyaka, ixabiso le-oyile elomeleleyo kunye nokusetyenziswa okubuthathaka kukhokelele kwilahleko ebanzi kwikhonkco leshishini le-olefin, iiyunithi zokuqhekeka kwe-ethylene zanciphisa imveliso kwindawo enkulu, kunye nexabiso le-oyile ekrwada ye-naphtha. Umahluko kanye wangena kuluhlu olubi, Oku kuthetha ukuba ixabiso lemveliso lingaphantsi kwelo lezinto ezikrwada, kwaye imveliso ikwilahleko.Ekupheleni kuka-Okthobha, umahluko wexabiso phakathi kwe-naphtha kunye ne-oyile ekrwada ubuguquguquka malunga neqanda.Ubuthathaka be-naphtha benza i-ethylene glycol yokungabikho kwenkxaso yeendleko.Ngoko ke, kwinkqubo yokunyuka kwexabiso leoli kunye nokuhla, i-naphtha ilandela ixabiso leoli, kwaye i-ethylene glycol ilahlekelwa yinkxaso yeendleko.Oku kukwayinto ebalulekileyo yexabiso le-ethylene glycol ukuqhubeka nokunciphisa ukususela kwikota yesibini yalo nyaka.
3. Ixabiso elinamandla lamalahle alikwazi ukuxhasa i-ethylene glycol
Umgca wokuvelisa amalahle yinkqubo ekhethekileyo yokuvelisa i-ethylene glycol e-China.Okwangoku, amandla okuvelisa amalahle asekhaya afikelele kwi-8.65 yezigidi zeetoni, ezibalelwa kwi-37% yomthamo wasekhaya uwonke.Ixabiso lexabiso lemichiza yamalahle linamandla ngokwentelekiso, kwaye sele lisebenza ngaphezulu kwe-1100 yuan/toni ixesha elininzi lonyaka, kwaye lifikelele ngaphezu kwe-1300 yuan/toni ukusukela ngoSeptemba.Ilahleko yamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol ngokwethiyori ingaphezulu kwe-1000 yuan/ton.Ngenxa yokuba imithombo ye-syngas esetyenziswa yiyunithi nganye yahlukile, ingeniso yemveliso ethile inokujongwa kuphela.Nangona kunjalo, amalahle kwi-ethylene glycol sele ilahleko ukususela kwikota yesibini yalo nyaka, kwaye ilahleko iyaqhubeka ijula ngokuqiniswa kwamaxabiso amalahle.Nangona kunjalo, ezinye izityalo zemichiza yamalahle zisebenzisa i-coke oven tail gas ukuvelisa, eyeyenkunkuma yokuhlaziya kwakhona kwaye ayichatshazelwa lixabiso lamalahle;Ukongeza, kukho izixhobo ezixhasayo zamashishini amalahle.Kwinkqubo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso amalahle, iingeniso zamalahle ezinyukayo zizityebi, ngoko ke ukunyamezela kokulahlekelwa kwe-ethylene glycol ezantsi kuphuculwe.Ngoko ke, sinokubona ukuba nangona inzuzo yamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol ihlwempuzekile kulo nyaka, iyunithi yayo ayichaphazeli kangako ukuguquguquka kwenzuzo xa kuthelekiswa neminyaka edlulileyo.Ukutshintshwa kwe-catalyst yonyaka kunye nezinye iimfuno zokugcinwa kweyunithi zigxininiswe kwikota yesithathu, okukhokelela ekunciphiseni ngokukhawuleza kwesantya sokusebenza kwamalahle kwi-ethylene glycol.Lilonke, ngaphandle kokuvalwa kweeyunithi ezininzi zemigodi yemathiriyeli ekrwada yangaphandle ngenxa yeengxaki zenzuzo enyakeni, ukusebenza kweeyunithi ezisekelwe kumalahle kuzinzile kulo nyaka, kunye nenkxaso encinci ye-ethylene glycol.
Ukukhangela phambili kwikamva, ukubonelela obuthathaka kunye nokulindela imfuno kuya kugcina ixabiso le-ethylene glycol phantsi koxinzelelo.I-600000 yeetoni ze-1.8 yezigidi zeetoni zeetoni eYulin, i-Shaanxi Coal Mine iye yagunyaziswa, kwaye i-1.2 yezigidi zeetoni eziseleyo zicetywa ukuba zifakwe kwimveliso kwikota yesine.Ukongeza, iprojekthi yeJiutai yezigidi ezi-1 zeetoni ze-ethylene glycol nayo ifakwe kwimveliso.Kwixesha elizayo, kukho nokulindela ukuba i-Sanjiang 1 yezigidi zeetoni ze-MTO kunye neyunithi ye-ethylene glycol exhasa i-Shenghong Petrochemical iya kufakwa kwimveliso.Ukususela kwikota yesine ukuya kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka ozayo, uxinzelelo olutsha lwe-oethylene glycol luselukhulu.Ukusetyenziswa kwetheminali ebuthathaka kuyaqhubeka ukutsala intengiso ye-olefin.Ixabiso eliphantsi le-naphtha lenza i-ethylene glycol yokungabikho kwenkxaso yeendleko, kwaye amaxabiso amalahle asekhaya anamandla anzima ukuba abe nempembelelo enkulu kwi-ethylene glycol.Ukulindela kweendleko ezibuthathaka kunye nokubonelela kunye nemfuno kuya kugcina ixabiso le-ethylene glycol liphantsi.
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Ixesha lokuposa: Dec-16-2022